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Mike Latella is the chief meteorologist and executive weather producer for CBS 2 HD. Latella rejoined WCBS-TV in 2007 after beginning his career here in 1991. The behind-the-scenes leader of the CBS 2 HD Weather Team, Latella has a true passion for all things weather-related, especially hurricanes, and he'll use his blog to keep you up to date on all the weather developments and phenomena around the tri-state area. View his blog here.
Click here to e-mail Mike with your questions.
Friday November 20, 2009
As expected, our Friday started off wet and mild and finished sunny and cool. The high for the day occurred around 6am and fell into the low 50s by evening. The sunshine will be with us all weekend as high pressure comes in to town.
Saturday will be a November beauty. Look for lots of sunshine with highs in the mid 50s. It will be cool for Saturday high as the high moves closer to our area. Skies will be clear and winds will be light. Lows in New York City will dip into the low to mid 40s, but low 30s are possible in suburbs.
Sunday will be another nice day, especially early in the day. Latest computer models now keep the clouds away until after sunset, so look for sunshine once again. Highs will be a shade cooler than Saturday.
Showers move into the area Sunday night and into Monday. With the rain-cooled air, highs on Monday will only reach the low 50s.
We should clear out on Tuesday with a brief surge of mild air. Highs will take a run at 60 degrees once again.
Next Wednesday is a huge travel day. Right now it looks fair and pleasant with no weather worries.
Cooler air will move in for Thanksgiving and Friday. There is the chance of showers each day with highs in the low 50s for turkey day and only in the upper 40s on Friday.
Thursday November 19, 2009
It has been gloomy day across New York City. A little light rain has moved across the area during the afternoon. Rain will increase over night and into early Friday. Things improve nicely during the afternoon.
Temperatures will hold steady or rise a bit overnight and will be around 60 degrees Friday morning. They will hold steady or fall slightly during the afternoon as the drier ar moves in.
The weekend looks OK now. Sunshine will dominate the skies on Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Even Sunday looks OK. It will be sunny in the morning, but clouds will increase a bit in the afternoon. Highs will be a couple of degrees cooler.
Our next rain maker moves in Sunday night and lasts through Monday. We will struggle to reach the low 50s on Monday as we dodge the rain drops.
Skies clear out a bit on Tuesday with highs in the mid 50s.
Wednesday looks OK, but another chance of rain moves in for Thanksgiving.
Wednesday November 18, 2009
I hope you enjoyed the sunshine we experienced the past few days. We will not see much sun on Thursday. It will be back on Friday and for the start of the weekend.
An occluded front will cause clouds and eventually some rain around here Thursday and Thursday night. What exactly is an occluded front? Well, we all know that a cold front is the leading edge of cold air. A warm front is the leading edge of warm air. Sometimes, especially with a storm that has been around for a while (like the one we have in the nation's midsection) the cold air can catch up to the warm air. The result is often clouds, some rain, but little change in temperature. Highs on Thursday will reach the mid to upper 50s. Highs on Friday, behind the front, will actually be a couple of degrees higher, thanks to a return of the sun. Rain amounts Thursday night will range around a quarter of an inch.
The weekend starts out nice. Saturday will feature sunshine and temperatures in the mid to upper 50s. Sunday starts out OK, but clouds will increase in the afternoon in advance of our next rain maker. Right now it looks like the rain will hold off until after sunset. Computer models have been varying with the timing of the rain's arrival, so stay tuned.
Rain is likely on Monday with a coastal storm (not a big one). Skies clear out on Tuesday, but quickly return on Wednesday along with our next chance for rain.
Tuesday November 17th, 2009
A very uneventful week for weather continues. High pressure keeps us dry through late Thursday. Skies will be partly sunny on Wednesday and on the cloudy side on Thursday. Showers could reach our western suburbs late in the day Thursday. Showers are likely Thursday night and into early Friday. Right now the weekend looks better than it did yesterday. The storm that looked like it would bring us some rain on Sunday now looks like it will not reach us until Monday. Both weekend days look dry and mild with highs in the mid 50s.
Monday November 16, 2009
What a difference a week makes. Last week we were dealing with our first nor 'easter of the season with rain, wind and coastal flooding. This week, things will be much more quiet.
High pressure over the Great Lakes will slowly slide southeastward toward our area. This will keep us dry through at least Thursday. A storm system across the plains will have a tough time moving eastward because of this high.
Tuesday will be our sunniest day, but it will also be our coolest. High temperatures will only reach the low to mid 50s.
Wednesday will be nice too, but there will be a few extra clouds. Highs will be a tad higher.
The high moves to our east on Thursday. Our winds will swing around to the southwest. This will allow for milder air to move into our area. Many areas will take a run at 60 degrees.
It looks like rain will finally reach the area Thursday night and Friday.
We do dry out on Saturday, but another storm make a move toward our area on Sunday. Right now Saturday looks like the better day of the weekend.
Friday November 13, 2009
The hybrid former tropical storm/nor' easter will continue to impact our area through at least the first part of the weekend.
Coastal flooding is again possible with Saturday morning's high tides. Most of the area will experience high tides around sunrise. The astronomical high tide is higher than Friday evening's high tide, but the winds will not be as strong. Minor to locally moderate flooding is possible. Rain will be around the area as well, but will be less widespread later in the day.
Sunday will be the better day of the weekend. Computer models differ on just how nice our skies will be on Sunday. All models indicate a mild day with highs in the middle 60s. Skies could remain cloudy with some sunny breaks especially in the later afternoon.
The sun returns on Monday. Temperatures will remain mild.
An uneventful cold frontal passage will occur Monday night into Tuesday morning. It doesn't look like any rain will accompany this front, but it will turn cooler behind it. Tuesday's high will drop into the mid 50s.
From Wednesday through the end of the week a big area of high pressure will settle over the area. Look for sunshine with slightly milder temperatures each day.
Thursday November 12, 2009
The remains of what was once Hurricane Ida are evolving into our first nor' easter of the season. The storm has produced a foot of rain and near hurricane force wind gusts across the mid Atlantic today. While we will not feel as much of an impact here, we will be dealing with some problems.
Northeast winds will increase and continue tonight through Saturday. Winds can gust from 35 to 50 miles per hour at times. It will not necessarily be the gusts that cause the problems, but the sustained onshore aspect of the wind.
When winds blow onshore several days we experience "tidal piling". Tidal piling occurs when the wind does not allow high tides to recede. This occurs most often in back bays and rivers. Some locations in our area that experience tidal piling include Jamaica Bay and Great South Bay on Long Island. High tides will occur around 5pm this evening. Low tide will occur around 11pm, but look for a low tide about 2 feet above normal. This may not seem like a big deal, but think about this. Now the next high tide has a 2 foot "head start". When the next high tide occurs Friday morning, it will be higher, likely much higher than what appears on your tide charts.
This same pattern could materialize for Friday night and Saturday morning's high tide cycle.
Our weather will continue wet and windy through early Saturday. Things begin to improve later Saturday. Sunday will be the pick of the weekend as the sun returns and highs reach the low 60s.
We then enter a quiet pattern for much of next week with dry conditions and seasonable temperatures.
Wednesday November 11th, 2009
It looks like some of Ida's rain may make it this far north after all. Earlier this week, computer models kept a big strong high pressure anchored to our north which would protect us from the former tropical system. One thing I need to tell you about computer models. Ordinary computer models do not handle tropical systems well. Tropical models handle tropical systems well. When a tropical system or former tropical system moves inland we begin to use ordinary computer models to track them. This makes for tricky forecasting.
Ida is beginning to transition into a non-tropical system. It will continue to move very slowly up the eastern seaboard. High pressure across the Great Lakes will hold firm, or move slowly east over the next 3 days. The combination of strong high pressure and the low pressure system that was once Ida will increase easterly winds across the area. Winds will increase to 20 to 30 miles per hour with gusts to 45 miles per hour. The strongest winds will be along the coast, as well as areas south of New York City.
These onshore winds will push ocean waters into coastal bays and rivers. High tides will run 1-1.5 feet above normal. The winds will keep water from moving out during low tide. When the high tide approaches, lots of water will remained trapped near the coast. Each successive high tide from now through Saturday will be higher and higher. Coastal flood advisories have already been issued for all of our coastal communities.
Periods of rain and wind are likely Friday and Saturday. Conditions begin to improve on Sunday which will be the pick of the weekend.
It looks dry and seasonable for the start of next week.
Tuesday November 10, 2009
Ida has been downgraded to a remnant low. While not a tropical system any more, it is a big rain maker. Heavy rain is likely for much of the Southeast. The question is how far north will the rain and wind reach?
High pressure across the Great Lakes will be our friend and foe. While this high will help deflect the rain from Ida to our south, it will help to increase the winds across the area. The combination of strong high pressure and the approaching remnants of Ida will increase easterly winds beginning Wednesday. Winds will stay up a bit right through Saturday as Ida's remains will be slow to depart.
As easterly winds continue to blow, the ocean waters will be pushed against the eastern seaboard. The winds will keep the tide from dropping too much during low tide cycles. This will mean a higher high tide each day through Saturday. There is a good chance of some coastal flooding later this week.
Temperature-wise, we will return to normal readings on Wednesday. While there is the slight chance of showers this week, little rain is expected.
The shower threat will continue through Saturday. Sunday looks like the better of the weekend days. Looks like we may not be done with the mild stuff yet as we could reach the mid 60s on Sunday.
Monday November 9th 2009
We had some nice sunshine and mild temperatures across the northeast on Monday. The high temperature reached 67 degrees in Central Park. This was a dozen degrees above normal, but a far cry from the record of 75. Although today was the warmest day of the week, not real cold air is heading our way this week.
The clouds from what was once Hurricane Ida are already moving into the area. This will keep our temperatures from falling too far overnight.
Ida is expected to make landfall and weaken across the Gulf Coast over the next 2 days. The rain from this system will not make it this far north, but the clouds will linger through tomorrow.
Our Tuesday will be another mild one, but not quite as mild as today. Highs will reach the low 60s.
Cooler air will begin to move into the area on Wednesday. Highs will reach the low to mid 50s which is more typical for this time of year.
High pressure will bring us nice weather for the end of the week and on into the weekend. Temperatures will increase a bit each day, reaching the mid 50s on Thursday, upper 50s on Friday and near 60 degrees for both Saturday and Sunday.
